Introducing Bayes AI
Probability is ultimately a mathematical equation that measures the ratio of favourable outcomes to the total outcomes possible. So when a human analyst predicts a fight, they’re deciding which outcome is most likely to occur out of all total outcomes, based on their opinions and knowledge at hand.
Unfortunately, naturally there is bias in human decision making which therefore provides limitations on the accuracy in analysis. MMAPlay365 believes in providing our subscribers with the most accurate betting information we can, so we’re introducing a bias-free system designed to improve in accuracy over time.
We want to introduce you to Bayes AI – an algorithm backed by expert mathematical theorem and the latest technology to provide self-improving, accurate fight predictions. Learn more about our new Bayes AI system here.
What is Bayes AI?
Bayes AI is a combat sports prediction algorithm that uses Bayesian theory to predict the most probable outcomes of a fight. Unlike traditional models, Bayes AI can improve accuracy over time and is entirely devoid of human bias.
What is the Bayes Algorithm?
The Bayes algorithm is a core aspect of machine learning technology and probability theory. Using prior information, a mathematical equation allows Bayes AI to work out the most likely outcomes of a fight. The more information is given to the Bayes algorithm, the more accurate the prediction will be.
How Effective is the Bayes Algorithm?
We utilise the Bayes algorithm to predict fights as it is uniquely suited to the challenge. A UFC fight has a limited and lesser amount of outcomes (compared to other sports) but thousands of data points for the two fighters, leading to highly accurate predictions. During our testing in 2021, Bayes AI had an average Win/Loss prediction rate of 68%. We expect this only to improve as time goes on.
Benefits of Bayes AI over human handicappers
When a human handicapper predicts a fight, there are specific biases they’re sure to have, even subconsciously. Sometimes a human handicapper might pick their prediction of a close match based on intuition or just the shape the fighter looks to be in. Bayes AI is unbiased in its predictions and utilises thousands of data points per fighter. Bayes AI doesn’t pick its preferred outcome. Instead, it determines the most likely outcome every time.
If this guide has you as excited as we are for the introduction of the Bayes AI fight prediction system, why not check out our more in-depth page on the topic to learn more about the underlying technology? We will expand upon the algorithms, data points, statistics and include answers to some frequently asked questions. You will also be able to find the testimonials from various recognised industry professionals who tested Bayes AI during its testing phase. By signing up to MMAPlay365 today, you’ll be ready to harness the predicting power of Bayes AI.
An example of one of Bayes AI’s UFC fight predictions during the testing phase in 2021.